In this post, I will distribute the plate appearances for
the position players on a men's fastpitch softball team.
In 2012, there were 492 regular season plate appearances distributed
between 15 players. I would like to
distribute these 492 plate appearances for the 2013 regular season among the 14 players while
maximizing the number of runs created by the team.
Recall the linear weights based runs created formula that I found for this men's fastpitch softball league.
Runs Created = 0.44*1b + 0.83*2b + 1.00*3b + 1.38*hr + 0.31*walks
I calculated the runs created per plate appearance for each of the 14 players. Then I ranked the players by runs created per
plate appearance.
I found the mean and standard deviation of the plate
appearances for the team's players in the regular season for 2012.
Then I used the
inverse normal probability distribution with the percentile found using the rank of the player’s
runs created per plate appearance and the mean and standard deviation of the plate appearances for
the team in 2012. In this way, I could determine the ideal number of plate appearances for the 2013 season for each of the players.
rank | runs/pa | norm dist | new pa | new runs |
1 | 0.30 | 0.93 | 56 | 17 |
2 | 0.25 | 0.87 | 50 | 13 |
3 | 0.24 | 0.80 | 47 | 11 |
4 | 0.22 | 0.73 | 44 | 10 |
5 | 0.22 | 0.67 | 41 | 9 |
6 | 0.21 | 0.60 | 39 | 8 |
7 | 0.20 | 0.53 | 36 | 7 |
8 | 0.19 | 0.47 | 34 | 7 |
9 | 0.17 | 0.40 | 32 | 6 |
10 | 0.17 | 0.33 | 29 | 5 |
11 | 0.16 | 0.27 | 27 | 4 |
12 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 24 | 3 |
13 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 20 | 3 |
14 | 0.13 | 0.07 | 15 | 2 |
493 | 104 |
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